Important Information

This website is managed by Ultima Markets’ international entities, and it’s important to emphasise that they are not subject to regulation by the FCA in the UK. Therefore, you must understand that you will not have the FCA’s protection when investing through this website – for example:

  • You will not be guaranteed Negative Balance Protection
  • You will not be protected by FCA’s leverage restrictions
  • You will not have the right to settle disputes via the Financial Ombudsman Service (FOS)
  • You will not be protected by Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS)
  • Any monies deposited will not be afforded the protection required under the FCA Client Assets Sourcebook. The level of protection for your funds will be determined by the regulations of the relevant local regulator.

Note: UK clients are kindly invited to visit https://www.ultima-markets.co.uk/. Ultima Markets UK expects to begin onboarding UK clients in accordance with FCA regulatory requirements in 2026.

If you would like to proceed and visit this website, you acknowledge and confirm the following:

  • 1.The website is owned by Ultima Markets’ international entities and not by Ultima Markets UK Ltd, which is regulated by the FCA.
  • 2.Ultima Markets Limited, or any of the Ultima Markets international entities, are neither based in the UK nor licensed by the FCA.
  • 3.You are accessing the website at your own initiative and have not been solicited by Ultima Markets Limited in any way.
  • 4.Investing through this website does not grant you the protections provided by the FCA.
  • 5.Should you choose to invest through this website or with any of the international Ultima Markets entities, you will be subject to the rules and regulations of the relevant international regulatory authorities, not the FCA.

Ultima Markets wants to make it clear that we are duly licensed and authorised to offer the services and financial derivative products listed on our website. Individuals accessing this website and registering a trading account do so entirely of their own volition and without prior solicitation.

By confirming your decision to proceed with entering the website, you hereby affirm that this decision was solely initiated by you, and no solicitation has been made by any Ultima Markets entity.

I confirm my intention to proceed and enter this website Please direct me to the website operated by Ultima Markets , regulated by the FCA in the United Kingdom

Important Notice

Ultima Markets does not have an establishment in Singapore and does not operate from Singapore.

Ultima Markets does not provide products or services to citizens or residents of Singapore, and account applications from Singapore citizens or residents will not be accepted.

If you are a citizen or resident of Singapore, please do not open an account or use Ultima Markets’ products or services.

By selecting “Acknowledge and Continue Browsing”, you confirm that you are accessing this website on your own initiative and that your access is not the result of any direct marketing, targeted advertising, solicitation, or promotional activity by Ultima Markets.

Nothing on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or promotion of products or services in any jurisdiction where such activity is prohibited. You are responsible for ensuring that your access to and use of this website complies with applicable local laws and regulations.

Acknowledge and Enter the Website
Roll Arrow

全球市场陷入重度避险:中东局势叠加美债收益率飙升

Ultima Markets 每日市场展望 – 2026年9月2日

美伊地缘冲突升级与美债收益率飙升打压市场情绪

受中东地缘政治局势急剧恶化的冲击,周二全球金融市场全面陷入避险模式。美伊之间扩大的军事冲突在各大资产类别间引发能源震荡,显著压制了全市场的风险偏好。

  • 军事冲突持续扩大: 在伊朗对美军设施发动报复性打击后,美军发起了新一轮空袭。特朗普警告称,若伊朗采取进一步报复,美方将做出“规模显著扩大”的军事回应,显示出双方均无让步迹象。
  • 原油价格飙升与通胀忧虑: 在能源供应中断担忧加剧的推动下,油价飙升至近 2 个月来的新高,重新燃起了全球对能源驱动型通胀的焦虑。
  • 美债收益率狂飙: 受通胀担忧与发债压力推升,美国 10 年期国债收益率飙升至 4.80% 附近,创下近 3 年来的最高水平。

展望今日盘面,整体市场情绪仍将受避险主导。尤其是在历史性偏弱的“九月效应”叠加美债收益率攀升的双重压制下,全球股市短线料将持续面临下行阻力。

外汇与美股每日展望

美元指数:99.00 支撑稳固,反弹格局延续

在美债收益率高企及地缘政治避险买盘的支撑下,美元指数继续维持坚挺。

USDX, H4 Chart | Ultima Markets MT5

正如昨日文章所述,美元指数依然稳固运行于 99.00 关键心理关口上方。只要日内价格维持在 99.00 之上,短线反弹结构依然完好,上方目标继续指向 99.50 – 100.00。(如需查看完整结构解析,请参考昨日美元指数专项分析。)

欧元/美元:受美元与避险情绪拖累,测试 1.1570 关键支撑

尽管昨日公布的区域内通胀指标上行引发欧洲央行(ECB)加息押注回升(8 月标题通胀率升至同比 3%),欧元依然面临持续压制。

EURUSD, H4 Chart | Ultima Markets MT5

虽通胀上行推升了欧洲央行 9 月加息的预期,但这未能给欧元带来实质性提振,当前汇价走势主要受美元整体强劲以及市场避险情绪支配。

技术面上,欧元/美元正在 1.1570 – 1.1600 核心支撑带附近徘徊。虽然汇价可能在 1.1570 迎来日内反弹,但若有效跌破 1.1570,将打开更深度的下行空间。整体展望维持偏空至盘整。

美股展望(纳指 100 & 标普 500):关键技术位承压,关注支撑有效性

随着财报利好后的反弹缺乏持续买盘跟进,美股主要股指在技术面上再次显现出脆弱性。

NAS100, H4 Chart | Ultima Markets MT5

纳斯达克 100(NAS100):近期的反弹未能形成有效延续,使指数重回脆弱格局。交易员应重点关注 29,000 心理支撑大关。若有效下破 29,000,将宣告修正浪向更低支撑延伸。

SP500, H4 Chart | Ultima Markets MT5

标普 500(SP500):大盘正在测试 7,600 核心支撑位。若无法守住 7,600,短线技术格局预计将切换为更广泛的盘整修正形态。目前 7,700 仍为上方核心阻力关口。

核心观点:短线来看,尽管标普 500 和纳指 100 的整体技术结构在宏观维度上依然维持看涨,但由中东局势、油价飙升及美债收益率冲高带来的短线逆风可能会压制上行空间,甚至对美股市场施加一波阶段性下行压力。

市场总结与今日关注焦点

在美债收益率攀升至多年高位的背景下,今日市场走势将继续密切锚定中东地缘头条新闻与借贷成本动态。

显而易见的是,当前市场情绪持续受到中东地缘政治逆风与持续存在的收益率压力所压制。因此,周三的交易预计将继续由谨慎的避险情绪所主导。

今日重点关注:

  • 中东突发头条新闻: 跟踪潜在的军事报复行动及影响能源供应通道的地缘动态。
  • 美元指数 99.00 支撑地板: 监测 99.00 上方的价格稳定性,确认短线反弹动能。
  • 欧元/美元 1.1570 – 1.1600 支撑带: 观察 1.1570 能否引发日内反弹,还是破位下探打开更大空间。
  • 纳斯达克 100 在 29,000 关口的反应: 观察多头能否守护 29,000 关口,抑或下破跌入延伸修正浪。
  • 标普 500 在 7,600 支撑位的表现: 跟踪 7,600 附近的走势以评估美股大盘的整体稳定性。

免责声明

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料仅供参考,旨在帮助读者了解市场形势,并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性,但不能保证资料的绝对准确性,并可能随时更改,恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets对于因直接或间接使用或依赖此类资料而可能导致的任何损失或亏损(包括但不限于利润损失)不承担责任。

立即分享

  • Article Details
  • Article Details
  • Article Details

Thank you for visiting the Ultima Markets website. Please note that this website is intended for individuals residing in jurisdictions where accessing is permitted by law. Ultima and its affiliated entities do not operate in your home jurisdictions.

By clicking on ''Acknowledge'', you confirm that you are entering this website solely based on your initiative and not as a result of any specific marketing outreach. You wish to obtain information from this website based on reverse solicitation principles, in accordance with the applicable laws of your home jurisdiction.